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DFS NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 12/31

December 26, 2015: Houston Rockets guard James Harden (13) blocks the shot of New Orleans Pelicans forward Anthony Davis (23) during the game between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Houston Rockets at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. (Photograph by Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire)
Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire

Games to Target

Golden State at Houston (Over/Under 210): I expect a better effort from the Warriors tonight after getting dismantled in Dallas last night. The Rockets are playing better defense than they were at the beginning of the season, but they’re still bad on that end. This one should have plenty of scoring.

L.A. Clippers at New Orleans (O/U 208): Chris Paul and DeAndre Jordan are in play for me on the Clippers, while I’m interested in the Pelicans guards and Anthony Davis on the other side. This should be a fairly close game, and one to target with the high total.

News and Notes

  • Jordan Hill (dental work) is doubtful, while C.J Miles (back) and Ian Mahinmi (knee) are questionable. If Hill and Mahinmi miss this game, Lavoy Allen becomes immediately interesting as a value play.
  • Stephen Curry (leg) and Festus Ezeli (toe) are both questionable for the Warriors. I’m not completely ready to give up on Shaun Livingston as a value should Curry sit, and I think the studs like Draymond Green and Klay Thompson are primed for bounce-back games here.
  • Damian Lillard (foot) is a game-time decision tonight. Again, monitor this situation as C.J. McCollum is extra valuable with Lillard out.
  • Derrick Favors (back) will be a game-time decision for the Jazz. The Blazers bigs become a bit more interesting if Favors is sidelined.

Point Guard

Stud to Target

Ricky Rubio, MIN ($6,500): Targeting Rubio can be terrifying due to his injury history, but his recent form makes not taking a hard look at him very difficult. He has DraftKings scores of 42, 39 and 40 over his last three games, and even though the Pistons are a bad point-guard matchup, his upside is incredible at only $6.5K.

Others to consider: Chris Paul, LAC ($9,100) – Brandon Knight, PHX ($7,500)

Value Play

Trey Burke, UTA ($4,200): Burke is probably going to be the guy to watch in the absence of Alec Burks. Raul Neto doesn’t do much for fantasy purposes, and Burke has put up 26 and 35 DK points in his last two games; he’s worth a look against the Blazers.

Shooting Guard

Stud to Target

James Harden, HOU ($10,300): If you can afford to pay up at the position, Harden is usually the way to go. There aren’t many options I’m in love with below him, and he’s in a better spot with the Warriors looking less like their dominant selves without Curry.

Others to consider: Klay Thompson, GS ($7,500)

Value Play

Devin Booker, PHX ($4,000): Booker is starting in the wake of Eric Bledsoe’s season-ending surgery, and he’s performed fairly well this season when given the chance. He isn’t a bad flier pick, playing in what should be an uptempo contest. He might be blowout-proof, too.

Small Forward

Stud to Target

Paul George, IND ($8,600): George has come down from his white-hot start to the season, but his pricing is still very tempting despite the recent volatility. The Bucks are bad against opposing small forwards, and George offers a steep discount from Kevin Durant, albeit with much less safety.

Others to consider: Kevin Durant, OKC ($10,100) – Gordon Hayward, UTA ($7,500)

Value Play

Marcus Morris, DET ($5,700): He’s priced higher than you’d typically like a value to be, but Morris’s workload is constantly pretty high and he gets a solid matchup with Minnesota. If you need to save money at the position, you could do worse than a guy who plays 35 minutes a game and has no fear of chucking.

Power Forward

Stud to Target

Anthony Davis, NO ($10,400): I still like Draymond Green tonight, but Davis is the clear-cut No. 1 for me. You likely won’t be able to fit both him and Harden into your lineups, but Davis’s position is arguably thinner tonight, and he has a good matchup against a Blake Griffin-less Clippers frontcourt.

Others to consider: Draymond Green, GS ($9,300)

Value Play

Ersan Ilyasova, DET ($5,100): I recommend paying up at power forward and saving elsewhere, but if you must look for value here, I don’t mind Ilyasova. He’s been playing well lately, and now will take on a Minnesota set of bigs that’s better equipped to lock down the paint than chase around a shooting big.


Stud to Target

DeAndre Jordan, LAC ($7,600): With Blake Griffin out, Jordan is probably going to be my favorite center until his price climbs high enough for me to fade him. It isn’t there yet.

Others to consider: Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN ($6,800)

Value Play

Lavoy Allen, IND ($3,500): I only like this play if Ian Mahinmi and Jordan Hill are both ruled out, but if that’s the case, Allen makes for a nice play at only $3.5K. The Bucks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA, so a double-double would be within reach if Allen draws the start.

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