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DFS NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 12/18

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Tonight brings a 12-game slate of NBA action, a far cry from the three-game schedule we were faced with last night.

With today’s tip sheet things are going to change up just a bit. This article is being written far earlier than it usually would due to some factors out of my control. Nothing major is going to change — and the alterations aren’t going to be permanent — but considering no major news has come out, the news section is going to take on a slightly different look today.

Instead of the usual news rundown, this section will be an injury report – again, this will be for today only. I’ll list all the injuries we know about as of this morning (that are relatively new), and who the beneficiary is should that player sit.

Injury Report:

Shane Larkin OUT (concussion) — Jarrett Jack, Bojan Bogdanovic

Kevin Martin GTD (wrist) – Zach LaVine

Tyler Johnson OUT (shoulder) – Gerald Green

Chandler Parsons GTD (knee) – Raymond Felton

Devin Harris OUT (hamstring) – Raymond Felton

Emmanuel Mudiay GTD (ankle) – Jameer Nelson

Greg Monroe OUT (knee) – Miles Plumlee, John Henson

Remember to check the news up until tip:

BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core

Brandon Knight, PG, PHX ($7,400): The Pelicans struggle to stop point guards, and Knight has taken advantage thus far. In two games against New Orleans, Knight has averaged 48 DraftKings points. I’m not expecting that, but even getting into the 40 DK point range makes him valuable.

Paul Millsap, PF, ATL ($8,000): Millsap is usually a safe investment, and even more so when he’s in a good matchup. He’s averaged 34 DraftKings points against Boston and 40 DK points overall, and I like his odds of getting in that range tonight.

More more studs to consider: Stephen Curry, PG, GS ($10,700) – Paul George, SF, IND ($9,400) – Andre Drummond, C, DET ($9,100)

BARGAINS – Complementary Players & Punt Plays

Jrue Holiday, PG, NO ($5,100): Holiday’s price is near the limit for what I’m willing to pay, but if you want to get a piece of the Phoenix-New Orleans game at a cheap price, this is probably where you want to look. He’s put up 30 DK points in each of his last three despite playing no more than 29 minutes in any one game.

Chris Paul, PG, LAC ($7,800): Can you believe that Paul is only $7.8K? He’s been up and down this season, which explains the massive price drop, but as of late he’s been money. The Clippers’ point guard has put up three straight games of 40 DK points, and while the matchup with the Spurs is scary, a face-off with Tony Parker is not.

Tyreke Evans, SG, NO ($7,300): Evans put up a dud in his last game, but even that dud was good for 26.5 DK points. Any time I can get a point guard at shooting guard for this price I’m going to be interested, and Evans gets one of the worst teams against guards.

Rodney Hood, SG, UTA ($4,500): I’m going to continue to recommend Hood for as long as his price is below $5K. He’s been dealing with a few injuries that limited his minutes over his recent stretch of games, but when he’s healthy, he should see minutes in the 30s.

Marcus Morris, SF, DET ($5,500): Morris’s most redeeming quality as a fantasy play is that he has a stable workload. A close second to that trait is that he’s not afraid to chuck shots up. When those things intersect in a good matchup, it’s worth considering.

Gordon Hayward, SF, UTA ($7,300): Aside from the debacle in San Antonio, Hayward has eight straight games of at least 30 DK points. There is some hope for him to climb much higher than that against Danilo Gallinari and the Nuggets, in what could be a sneaky high-scoring game.

Chris Bosh, PF, MIA ($7,100): Bosh had a bad game last time out, but he’s still underpriced for his role. He gets a tired Raptors squad in Miami tonight, where he’ll likely be guarded by Luis Scola and Patrick Patterson.

Gorgui Dieng, C, MIN ($5,300): If Dieng starts, I like him a lot as a value play at center. He saw 36 minutes after starting at power forward in the last game, and dropped 36 DK points as a result.

LOTTERY TICKETS – Five Tournament Plays

Ricky Rubio, PG, MIN ($7,200): Ricky Rubio is playing in what could be a fast-paced affair against Rajon Rondo and the Kings, and we’ve seen his upside in his near quadruple-double the last time out.

Klay Thompson, SG, GS ($7,000): Klay would be a cash play if I wasn’t convinced that the Warriors were going to hang 500 points on the Bucks tonight. If this game is competitive enough that Thompson sees the floor in the fourth quarter, he likely will make value.

Danilo Gallinari, SF, DEN ($6,800): Gallo is a cash play for me if Emmanuel Mudiay is ruled out due to the role he seems to have taken on without him. After averaging less than three assists on the season, Gallinari has put up assist totals of four, seven and five with Mudiay out or missing portions of the game due to injury. It may not seem like a huge jump, but with his ability to put up big shooting lines, adding playmaking to his arsenal is huge.

Kristaps Porzingis, PF, NY ($7,400): Porzingis hasn’t been stable enough to use in cash games, but you have to love the upside against Jahlil Okafor tonight. Porzingis is already an all-around fantasy contributor, and Okafor gets stuffed as much as anyone in the NBA, further boosting Porzingis’s fantasy upside.

Tim Duncan, C, SA ($5,600):The Clippers aren’t great defensively, and Duncan is too cheap to ignore. He should play enough in what projects to be one of the more competitive games the dominant Spurs have played at home.

BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism

John Henson, PF, MIL ($4,200): I’d be interested if he was closer to minimum price, but at $4.2K he’s too expensive for me because it’s rare for him to see over 25 minutes under Jason Kidd.

Miles Plumlee, C, MIL ($3,300): I’ll be damned if I start Miles Plumlee on the road against Golden State in 2015.

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