Tonight’s Thursday slate in a bit different in the fact that it brings with it six games of action. That’s a pleasant departure from the scant two- or three-game schedules we’re used to, and gives us a few more options to choose from.
As far as games to target go, the clear choice is Boston at Sacramento. Both teams play a fast-paced game and the over/under total is 215 in this one. DeMarcus Cousins is the top play overall in my opinion, but there are plenty of options on both squads worth considering for all formats.
Of course, there are five other games to search for value in, and I’ve dissected all of them in search of my favorite plays of the evening; those are below.
Today’s news and notes:
- Luol Deng (hamstring) is a game-time decision, but reports have surfaced saying he’s more doubtful. Gerald Green is the guy to target if he sits.
- Gary Harris (concussion) is out and Kenneth Faried (ankle) is questionable for the Nuggets tonight. Will Barton’s stock is up for Harris and if Faried doesn’t go, Darrell Arthur gets a slight boost.
- Rudy Gobert (knee) will likely miss several weeks. Trevor Booker is the guy I’m targeting as a value play, but Derrick Favors could see an uptick in production as well.
Remember to check the news up until tip-off:
BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core Lineup
DeMarcus Cousins, PF, SAC ($10,600): Cousins is my favorite of the elite guys tonight, though I don’t mind building around any of the $10K players on this slate. I don’t believe there’s a player on the Celtics that has a chance to slow Cousins down, and this game should be competitive with the Kings at home.
Trevor Booker, PF, UTA ($4,000): Rudy Gobert is out, and it’s anybody’s guess at how exactly his minutes will be distributed. Mine is that Derrick Favors will see more time at center, allowing Booker to play at the 4. That would make the latter a great value play against the Magic at only $4K, but if any news pops up that contradicts my theory, feel free to fade him.
Three more studs to consider: Russell Westbrook, PG, OKC ($10,400) – Kevin Durant, SF, OKC ($10,100) – Paul George, SF, IND ($10,000)
BARGAINS – Complementary Players & Punt Plays
Isaiah Thomas, PG, BOS ($7,500): The matchup with the Kings carries the highest projected pace, and should see plenty of opportunity for Thomas to stick it to the team that drafted him. Rajon Rondo’s defense is nothing to be scared of here.
Tony Parker, PG, SA ($5,300): If you want to punt, Parker is a solid option, even against the Grizzlies. He doesn’t carry massive upside, but I doubt he’ll kill you in what looks like a competitive matchup, so he should be a solid fill-in for your second guard slot.
Gerald Green, SG, MIA ($4,200): One of the guys who will be more highly owned tonight, should Luol Deng sit out, is Green. His bargain potential and high ownership makes him fairly safe for cash games, so if you need to open up some extra salary, take a hard look at him.
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA ($6,800): I don’t hate paying all the way up for DeMar DeRozan in this spot, but I like to target Wade in what I predict will be competitive matchups. The Thunder are just that, and they’re playing at a much faster pace than the Heat are. If Wade gets extra opportunities, I like his floor and upside, because we’ve seen him play like his old superstar self in the right spot.
Gordon Hayward, SF, UTA ($6,600): Hayward is a nice value in comparison to Kevin Durant, Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, and he has a nice matchup in the Orlando Magic. In any lineup I don’t pay up at this position, I can’t really go a different way than Hayward tonight.
Jared Sullinger, C, BOS ($6,400): Sullinger scares me because the minutes aren’t always stable, but the matchup with the Kings is fantastic. If he avoids foul trouble from the bullet train that’s DeMarcus Cousins, he could be in for a big day at a position where there’s little value to be found.
Bismack Biyombo, C, TOR ($4,900): The Nuggets are a matchup to target for bigs, and that counts for Biyombo too even though he seemingly cannot score. His price is trending towards the range where I’d be uncomfortable investing in him, but it’s not there yet, so I’ll continue to deploy him.
LOTTERY TICKETS – Five Tournament Plays
Emmanuel Mudiay, PG, DEN ($5,500): I love the workload, but hate the fact he’s shooting under 30 percent in his last six games. If the shot falls, a big fantasy day awaits, especially at this salary.
Alec Burks, SG, UTA ($5,100): Burks is scoring dependent for the most part, but the good news is that the Magic aren’t great defensively. Plenty of people will be on Rodney Hood at $200 less, but Burks carries greater upside, so I want him in tournaments.
Danilo Gallinari, SF, DEN ($7,000): Gallo is the focal point of the Nuggets’ offense, but he runs hot and cold with his jumper. If Kenneth Faried misses, however, I love his upside because the Nuggets are more apt to play him at the 4. For that reason, Gallo is a high upside tournament option.
Chris Bosh, PF, MIA ($7,400): A guy who seems to get easily lost in the mix is Chris Bosh, but the Thunder aren’t great against opposing 4s, and this game looks like it should competitive. If that’s the case, Bosh could easily exceed his salary value.
Nikola Vucevic, C, ORL ($6,600): Most people see Utah and stay away, and I still feel that way in cash for the most part. Still, Vucevic carries 50-60 DraftKings points worth of upside, and no Rudy Gobert gives him a better shot at achieving that.
BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism
Rajon Rondo, PG, SAC ($8,800): The minutes aren’t what they were when Darren Collison was out, and neither is the production.
Marc Gasol, C, MEM ($7,300): I’ve been riding Gasol’s hot streak recently, but a matchup with the Spurs’ interior is enough for me to pass tonight.