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DFS NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 12/29

December 27, 2015 Oklahoma City Thunder Guard Russell Westbrook (0) [1973] backing down Denver Nuggets Guard Jameer Nelson (1) [951] at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City (Torrey Purvey/Icon Sportswire)
Torrey Purvey/Icon Sportswire

DraftKings Games to Target

Atlanta at Houston (Over/Under 208): The Hawks aren’t ever really an exciting team to target for fantasy, but they should be able to put up points on a bad Houston team. I like Paul Millsap the most out of their studs. For the Rockets, James Harden is always in play, and Dwight Howard could have some serious GPP appeal in this game against Al Horford.

Detroit at New York (O/U 199.5): This game projects to be one of the more competitive contests of the night, with Detroit a slight favorite in New York. For that reason, you can draw some of your core out of this game. Andre Drummond should be a good play, as should Carmelo Anthony. I am also considering Reggie Jackson and Kristaps Porzingis.

News and Notes

  • Dwyane Wade (hip) is questionable against the Grizzlies. If he were to miss tonight’s game, Tyler Johnson and Gerald Green would be the main beneficiaries as far as backups go. Goran Dragic would get a slight bump as well.
  • Matt Barnes (suspension) will not play tonight. This really makes this game uninteresting as the Grizzlies will likely go back to their “grit-‘n’-grind” lineup with Zach Randolph at the four. Jeff Green could still see a bigger workload, however.
  • Jerryd Bayless returned to the Bucks’ lineup last night, which may or may not be a direct correlation to the mere 21 minutes Michael Carter-Williams registered last night. This is likely going to remain an unpredictable situation in the short-term.
  • Kyrie Irving (rest), Danilo Gallinari (ankle), and Emmanuel Mudiay (ankle) are all expected to miss the Cavaliers-Nuggets tilt. Matthew Dellavedova is a good value at point guard while Will Barton will continue to be the man to target in Denver.
  • Terrence Jones (illness) is doubtful to face the Hawks. This could mean more minutes for Clint Capela, and to a lesser extent, Donatas Motiejunas.

Point Guard

Stud to Target

Russell Westbrook, OKC ($10,500): Is there really any other option? If you are going to go big at point guard today, Westbrook is your guy; he has topped 50 DraftKings points in three of his last four.

Others to consider: Reggie Jackson, DET ($7,300)

Value Play

Goran Dragic, MIA ($5,500): If Dwyane Wade is out I will probably look to add Dragic in a good portion of my lineups. He finally looks to be getting comfortable on this team, and that has led to him flashing a bit of the ceiling we had come to expect after his second stint in Phoenix.

Shooting Guard

Stud to Target

James Harden, HOU ($10,300): Another case where there is a lone stud, and then a pretty big drop off. Harden doesn’t draw the best matchup – he will likely see a lot of Thabo Sefolosha – but his ability to put up stats in every category is enticing on a small slate.

Others to consider: Will Barton, DEN ($6,900)

Value Play

Tyler Johnson, MIA ($3,700): This one only applies if Dwyane Wade is out. Johnson should see an uptick in minutes if Wade sits, and he has shown that he can put up some good fantasy performances when he sees extended run. He is still working his way back into form after a shoulder issue, so there is a risk here.

Small Forward

Stud to Target

Kevin Durant, OKC ($10,000): The best position to target against the Bucks for fantasy is small forward, making the most expensive player at the position the one to keep an eye on once again. Assuming this game stays close – the Thunder are favored by 13 points – KD should have little problem getting to the 50 DraftKings points we need.

Others to consider: Carmelo Anthony, NY ($8,300)

Value Play

Kent Bazemore, ATL ($5,300): Bazemore has been a fairly consistent player lately, never scoring less than 20 DraftKings points over the last two weeks. In a matchup with the Rockets there is upside for much more, but he remains a nice value with a solid floor first and foremost.

Power Forward

Stud to Target

Kevin Love, CLE ($7,600): Love has been fantastic in terms of his per-minute fantasy production as of late, and that should continue against a relatively soft interior for the Nuggets. He should also benefit from Kyrie Irving’s absence here.

Others to consider: Paul Millsap, ATL ($7,700)

Value Play

Ersan Ilyasova, DET ($4,900): I recommend simply paying up at power forward, but if you want to cut salary Ilyasova provides decent upside for his price. He also has a low floor, but the ceiling is somewhere around 35 DraftKings points in any given matchup.

Center

Stud to Target

Hassan Whiteside, MIA ($7,000): I usually avoid taking bigs against Marc Gasol, but Whiteside is simply too good for fantasy purposes to fade him when he is getting big minutes. That should be the case here, so I don’t mind buying in today.

Others to consider: Andre Drummond, DET ($9,400) – Al Horford, ATL ($6,300)

Value Play

Enes Kanter, OKC ($4,900): Kanter’s limited minutes are not a good thing by any stretch, but there is no denying his recent production. He has put up three straight games of at least 33 DraftKings points, and could do so again versus a poor rebounding club in the Bucks.

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