There’s value to be had every night in NBA DFS. The key is finding it.
Sure, that statement isn’t all the profound, but it’s important to realize that there is value each night. I’ve had to remind myself of that very point while researching tonight’s slate — which is brutal by the way.
With only four games on the slate tonight, having a tight process is going to be the key to putting yourself in the best position to cash. Chasing hidden value might pay off, but oftentimes will blow up in your face, and hurts even more when you miss cash by a few points because of it.
I’ve got some picks that hopefully can prevent that from happening to you, and they’re waiting after today’s news and notes:
- Tony Wroten is the new starter at point guard for the 76ers. What does this mean? It means avoid their backcourt situation, because the minutes are going to be unpredictable. The one thing we do know about this move is that Wroten will not play more than 16 minutes tonight as he works his way to full health.
- Bojan Bogdanovic will continue to start for the Nets, at least for now. I don’t consider his minutes secure, but he’s going to be a popular play tonight regardless. More on him down below.
Make sure to check the news up until tip:
BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core Lineup
Thaddeus Young, PF, BKN ($7,400): With his consistency and matchup, it’s going to be tough for me to go anywhere else at power forward. The only concern I have is a potential blowout, but I don’t see the Nets suddenly rising up to crush any team – even the 76ers.
Al Horford, C, ATL ($6,900): Center is a top-heavy position again tonight, so saving a bit of coin on the highest palatable starter doesn’t seem like a bad idea. Horford is relatively safe, and contributes in all categories, giving him more upside if he gets going offensively.
More studs to consider: Russell Westbrook, PG, OKC ($10,400) – Kevin Durant, SF, OKC ($10,100) – Paul Millsap, PF, ATL ($8,300)
BARGAINS – Complementary Players and Punt Plays
Jose Calderon, PG, NY ($4,300): More Calderon! His price is going up, so you’ll likely see less of him in this spot, but I can’t quit Calderon with a matchup against the Kings looming. Punt away!
J.J. Redick, SG, LAC ($4,000): Shooting guard is absolutely awful after Jimmy Butler, making Redick a consideration in all formats. He’s dirt cheap for the type of minutes he usually sees, and he only needs around 20 DraftKings points to provide some value for your lineups.
Jimmy Butler, SG, CHI ($7,500): Hey, speaking of Butler, use him if you can. It’s tough to pay up at shooting guard with the presence of other elite options at the premium positions, but I’d be shocked if Butler doesn’t end the night as the top shooting guard play.
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY ($7,600): Coming off an embarrassing loss in Utah, Carmelo should find things easier against the Kings. If you build your lineup around the middle-tier guys, you almost have to include Anthony given the matchup and his scoring upside.
Bojan Bogdanovic, SF, BKN ($4,200): For the record, I don’t think Bogdanovic is good. He’s going to be one of the most highly-owned punt options in 50-50s and double-ups, so you can use him without getting too dinged if he flops.
Brook Lopez, C, BKN ($7,700): Everyone on the Nets is a consideration at home against the 76ers. Brook Lopez is up there with Thad Young as one of the top plays, so feel free to use him against the worst team in the NBA.
LOTTERY TICKETS – 5 Tournaments Options
Jarrett Jack, PG, BKN ($6,200): Do I trust Jarrett Jack, despite getting 37 minutes two games in a row? No, I do not. Still, he’s an interesting mid-tier option considering his competition tonight.
Langston Galloway, SG, NY ($3,700): I like Arron Afflalo more for cash, but the Kings are awful against shooting guards, so Galloway has upside at under $4K. He can contribute in a variety of categories, and makes for an interesting upside-punt if you want to go for a lower-owned player.
Joe Johnson, SF, BKN ($5,500): Johnson has been atrocious this year, but a matchup with Philadelphia could provide him the opportunity he needs to find some rejuvenation. For the price, I’ll use him in a few GPPs.
Nerlens Noel, PF, PHI ($5,800):If Noel was getting 30+ minutes each night, I’d be using him in cash tonight. However, due to injuries and the 76ers ineptitude, he’s seen his minutes vary more than I’d like. I’ll take the gamble in tournaments.
Joakim Noah, C, CHI ($4,500): The contrarian move in tournaments will be to pay down for center, and Noah has been playing well enough to warrant consideration. Any possible increase in minutes would pave the way for a big fantasy day from him.
BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism
Tony Wroten, PG, PHI ($3,700): Wroten is starting for the 76ers tonight, but his minutes restriction being at 16 makes him an avoid candidate.
Robert Covington, SF, PHI ($7,200): I’m not sure how you can justify paying for Covington tonight with Carmelo Anthony only $400 more.