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Daily Fantasy NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 11/7

Keith Birmingham/ Pasadena Star-News/Zuma Press/Icon Sportrswire

Still ready to give up on Anthony Davis? If you played him (or against him) last night on DraftKings, I would assume the answer is no.

The Brow dropped 75.5 DraftKings points last night against Atlanta, pacing a crazy high-scoring night for most users. Led by a combination of Davis and James Harden (74 DraftKings points), my main cash lineup scored 312 points. That score would typically win you 100-percent of your cash games, or close to it, but last night even that hefty score wasn’t able to pull out every victory.

Tonight, DraftKings is offering an eight-game slate (minus the Timberwolves-Bulls game for some reason), and both Davis and Harden return for more DFS action. Either are worth building around any night, even though I am going elsewhere, as you’ll see below.

Let’s hit some news and notes before we jump in:

  • Chandler Parsons (knee) is going to become a starter for the Mavericks tonight. Don’t make him a starter for your lineup, as he is still on a strict minutes restriction.
  • DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is still out Saturday. It looks like Darren Collison and Rajon Rondo will continue to be the starters in the backcourt, which is the biggest adjustment George Karl has made in Boogie’s absence.
  • Dwight Howard (rest) will play tonight versus the Clippers. I am in on him, as you’ll see below.
  • Evan Fournier scored under 15 DraftKings points last night after a torrid start to the year. I am fading him going forward, as his $5.8k price tag is just too hefty.
  • Marcus Thornton has not faded, and still looks like one of the main value plays you can use at shooting guard as long has he’s playing 30-plus minutes. I will not be one of those deploying him, though; it’s only a matter of time before he disappoints.

Check the news up until tip, and your lineup shall prosper:

BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core Lineup

Brad Beal, SG, WAS ($6,800): Beal is playing some of his best ball in the Wizards’ new up-tempo style. He checks in at $100 less than Klay Thompson while sporting a higher floor, and potentially a higher ceiling. For $6,800, he is one of my favorite plays of the night, though he is playing in his third game in four nights (many teams tonight will do the same), so there is potential for a letdown.

Blake Griffin, PF, LAC ($9,600): Griffin has been outstanding so far this season, with his “floor” so far being the 41 DraftKings points mark. He is one of the few studs coming off of a rest day, and the fast-paced matchup with the conference-rival Rockets makes for a phenomenal spot for him. I’m building my lineups around him tonight.

Dwight Howard, C, HOU ($7,000): When you know Dwight is going to play, and play starter’s minutes, he isn’t as risky as his three missed games this season suggest. With DraftKings totals of 37.5 and 43.5 the two times he played more than 30 minutes, I am willing to take the plunge for a mere $7k. The matchup with the Clippers is going to make him a fixture of my lineups due to the projected pace of the game.

Three more studs to consider: Stephen Curry, PG, GS ($10,400) – James Harden, SG, HOU ($10,000) – Anthony Davis, PF, NO ($10,600)

BARGAINS – Complementary Players Who Look To Have Favorable Pricing

Darren Collison, PG, SAC ($4,800): I hate the matchup with the Warriors, but I love the price and opportunity for Collison in this spot. He has played 30 minutes in three-straight games without DeMarcus Cousins, and the pace of this game should allow him to make value even if his scoring total aren’t up to par.

November 6, 2015: Atlanta Hawks guard Jeff Teague (0) drives to the basket during the game between Atlanta Hawks and New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. Atlanta Hawks defeat New Orleans Pelicans 121-115. (Photograph by Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire)

November 6, 2015: Atlanta Hawks guard Jeff Teague (0) drives to the basket during the game between Atlanta Hawks and New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. Atlanta Hawks defeat New Orleans Pelicans 121-115. (Photograph by Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire)

Jeff Teague, PG, ATL ($6,500): Teague’s price has dropped a little too far, and I have no problem plugging him into my lineup if I know he is going to play. That is the question, though, because the Hawks have shown a tendency to be Spurs-like in their approach to resting players. Check the news up until tip, and do so extra for any of your Hawks tonight, as they are on the second night of a back-to-back.

Klay Thompson, SG, GS ($6,900): Klay has a good matchup and has scored 30 DraftKings points in two straight after starting the season slowly. There is potential here for a massive game if you can fit him into your lineup.

Nik Stauskas, SG, PHI ($4,200): Stauskas has been my budget shooting guard of choice so far this season, and he’s come through with 20 DraftKings points in three-straight. It’s the second night of a back-to-back, but he certainly could make it four in a row against the Magic.

Harrison Barnes, SF, GS ($5,000): Barnes is a relatively safe play at small forward each night, and he usually hovers around this $5k price tag. Tonight’s the night that I think he could make a serious case to jump much higher, as this fast-paced game looks to be a wonderful spot for him.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, SF, BKN ($3,000): This play isn’t pretty because Hollis-Jefferson can’t really score, but he has a nice floor if he is going to remain the starter. He contributes in all of the defensive categories, should get to the line and showcased playmaking abilities in college that we haven’t seen quite yet for his professional squad, making him a relatively safe minimum priced guy if he is going to get the minutes he did yesterday.

Ryan Anderson, PF, NO ($5,500): Dirk Nowitzki trying to chase around a perimeter shooter like Anderson spells only good things for latter’s potential offensive production.

Nerlens Noel, PF, PHI ($7,000): As long as Noel hovers around this $7k range, he is a forward I will be considering. He rebounds and blocks shots at an elite level, and gets more steals than most guards. He isn’t a scoring machine, but should do enough to reach a double-double more often than not. Consider him a safe cash play.

Marcin Gortat, C, WAS ($5,300): Gortat hasn’t played all that well this season, but I don’t mind using him in the right matchup. The Hawks struggle against size down low, and the pace of this game should be favorable for Gortat.

Dewayne Dedmon, C, ORL ($3,800): I used Dedmon last night when his price was $800 lower, and he came through. I don’t feel as good about him against a duo of Nerlens Noel and Jahlil Okafor, as he is prone to foul trouble, but his price is too good not to mention.

LOTTERY TICKETS – High Risk, High Reward Plays

Ty Lawson, PG, HOU ($6,100): Lawson will appear here quite a bit this season, given his inconsistency and his team’s fantasy-friendly offense. I don’t like the matchup with Chris Paul, but if Paul is gimpy, Lawson could take advantage.

Alec Burks, SG, UTA ($5,200): The Jazz-Grizzlies tilt is one to avoid for the most part due to the slow pace, but I like Burks as a tournament shooting guard option. The Jazz are still looking for a playmaker at point guard, and Burks looked the part last time out, dropping 8 assists against Denver. If he takes over that role, he should be a good bet to outplay his salary.

LaMarcus Aldridge, PF, SA ($7,000): I don’t like playing Spurs outside of Kawhi Leonard, but Aldridge is getting too much opportunity to fade him in tournaments.

BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism

Chris Paul, PG, LAC ($9,100): I would much rather pay $9k for John Wall than $9,100 for Paul given how the two have played so far.

Evan Fournier, SF, ORL ($5,800): Playing Fournier was fun when he was $4,000. Now? Not so much.

Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA ($7,800): Leonard is probably a solid tournament play, but in the area he’s priced, he would need around 40 DraftKings points to be a value. He has hit that mark once so far this season, and now gets a Hornets team that plays at a slow pace.

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