I hope you all enjoyed your Thanksgiving holiday! The NBA is back tonight after taking the day off and features a 12-game slate.
For fantasy, the most intriguing game for me is the New Orleans Pelicans taking on the Los Angeles Clippers in LA. With tempting top-tier options in Anthony Davis, Chris Pau and Blake Griffin and an overall game total of nearly 214, there should be a lot of scoring here.
Of course, we should be able to find some good values elsewhere, too. It is Black Friday after all.
Today’s news and notes:
- Timofey Mozgov (shoulder) and Matthew Dellavedova (leg) are both game-time decisions tonight. I’m not interested in either one.
- Luol Deng (hamstring) is out tonight, and it could be Gerald Green starting in his place once again. Green is better served for tournaments, but is a solid play in that format.
- Zach Randolph (knee) is a game-time decision again. I like Jeff Green and Marc Gasol if he misses another contest.
- Tim Duncan (rest) and Manu Ginobili (rest) are both out for the Spurs tonight. LaMarcus Aldridge and Kawhi Leonard are the only plays here for me.
- Kenneth Faried (ankle) is a game-time decision, but Joffrey Lauvergne will reportedly return tonight. I don’t want any of this situation against the Spurs, however.
- Ricky Rubio (ankle) is a game-time decision, making Zach LaVine an interesting play if he sits.
- DeMarcus Cousins (back) is doubtful tonight. There are plenty of players who should receive a bump; I cover them below.
Remember to check the news up until tip-off:
BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core Lineup
John Wall, PG, WAS ($8,100): Wall’s price is looking like a Black Friday doorbuster. Avery Bradley is a good defensive guard who could slow Wall down a bit, but at this price point I’m all for using Wall in cash given his combination of floor and ceiling.
Robert Covington, SF, PHI ($5,100): Covington has been en fuego his last three games, and the price hasn’t caught up yet. I’ll be using him frequently, especially in a matchup with the reeling Rockets who have no answers defensively.
Three more studs to consider: Chris Paul, PG, LAC ($8,500) – Anthony Davis, PF, NO ($10,800) – Andre Drummond, C, DET ($9,100)
BARGAINS – Complementary Players & Punt Plays
Isaiah Canaan, PG, PHI ($3,900): You’ll probably never feel great about playing Canaan, but he’s been good recently and has a bump in job security with Nik Stauskas ailing. The matchup with the Rockets should give him the floor he needs to be of value at this price.
Elfrid Payton, PG, ORL ($6,000): Scott Skiles benched his best player (Victor Oladipo) and somehow came out looking like he made a good decision, partly because Payton delivered a standout performance. His ability to contribute across the board gives him a solid base, and he’ll strongly outperform his value if he scores anywhere close to how he showed he can last game.
Bradley Beal, SG, WAS ($6,600): Beal is priced favorably, even when considering he hasn’t had a huge game since returning from injury. Expect the game versus the Celtics to be a bit faster paced, making Beal a viable, high-floor option at shooting guard.
Evan Turner, SG, BOS ($5,000): In that same game, Turner is an interesting option with Marcus Smart sidelined. His minutes aren’t guaranteed, but he provides triple-double upside if he can scrape together around 30 minutes.
Rudy Gay, SF, SAC ($7,200): With DeMarcus Cousins likely to sit again tonight, Gay’s usage rate should climb through the roof. He has a potentially tough matchup with Andrew Wiggins, but his price is extremely good considering the safety he provides.
Markieff Morris, PF, PHX ($5,500): The low-priced option I’m most intrigued with at power forward is Morris, who’s played well since returning from injury. His minutes are still a bit strange in terms of when he’s getting them, but he has received 30 in three straight.
Kevin Love, PF, CLE ($8,300): Love is in the midst of a hot streak and now gets to take on a struggling Charlotte defense. His price makes for a nice pivot off of Anthony Davis in cash games, and his floor is still extremely high due to his workload.
Marc Gasol, C, MEM ($7,200): If Randolph is out again tonight, Gasol may be the only center in my lineups. He’s been phenomenal as the unquestioned centerpiece of the offense, and his price doesn’t reflect his awesome combination of safety and upside.
LOTTERY TICKETS – Five Tournament Plays
Ricky Rubio, PG, MIN ($6,900): Rubio is perpetually questionable and/or injured, but he’s an interesting tournament play if he goes tonight. His status as a game-time decision almost guarantees low ownership, and the matchup with the Kings is a juicy one.
Gerald Green, SG, MIA ($3,300): If Green sees extended minutes again tonight this one is a no-brainer. When he’s hot, Green’s upside is over 30 DraftKings points. You won’t beat that at this price tag.
Omri Casspi, SF, SAC ($4,700): Like Rudy Gay, Casspi should see extended opportunity with DeMarcus Cousins sidelined. He’s a nice value play with upside in tournament formats, but I wouldn’t use him in cash.
Kristaps Porzingis, PF, NY ($7,300): Porzingis is looking like the perfect tournament play at his current pricing. When he’s on, he can perform like an elite-tier DraftKings player. His base isn’t all that high given his inexperience, but use him in GPPs.
Kosta Koufos, C, SAC ($4,500): I’d rather pay up at center in cash, but Koufos is a nice cap-friendly play in tournaments.
BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism
Stephen Curry, PG, GS ($10,900): I’d rather play Anthony Davis tonight, plain and simple. I understand playing Curry, I just won’t be doing it myself.
Mike Conley, PG, MEM ($6,900): Conley has been a great play over the last week or so, but I don’t feel comfortable playing him at this price. I’d rather play Jeff Teague for $200 less.