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Daily Fantasy NBA: DraftKings Tip Sheet 11/18

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It’s safe to say that last night’s contests didn’t go as planned for many fantasy owners. Anthony Davis’s shoulder injury in early in the first quarter hamstrung a good majority of lineups last night, including many of mine.

But does that mean that it was “right” to fade Davis? I would contest that the process was right in selecting Davis, even at his hefty salary.

The Brow was coming off a 60-point game on DraftKings, and was poised for another big one as he faced a Denver team that was soft on the inside. Each team involved also preferred to play fast, so it was a fantasy-friendly situation.

The question is this: do you fade someone because of injury concern?

Unfortunately, I can’t answer that for you; it’s personal preference. But it’s an interesting debate the sparked up on Twitter in the wake of Davis’s injury.

Here’s to hoping we avoid such pitfalls tonight. Today’s news and notes:

  • Derrick Rose (ankle) is doubtful tonight against the Suns. Aaron Brooks will be a nice value play if Rose misses, but Jimmy Butler would become an elite play due to his jump in usage.
  • Anthony Davis (shoulder) and Omer Asik (illness) are questionable. Ryan Anderson has the most to gain from this situation if they both miss.
  • George Hill (illness) and Rodney Stuckey (ankle) are both out again tonight, giving Monta Ellis a big boost in usage once again.
  • Manu Ginobili (hip) will miss the next two games. It’s always tough to tell who benefits on the Spurs, but my choice is Danny Green. More below.
  • Ricky Rubio (hamstring) is questionable on the second night of a back-to-back Wednesday. Zach LaVine would start if he misses.
  • Victor Oladipo (concussion) could return to the lineup against the Timberwolves. He’s a tournament-only option if he plays.
  • Markieff Morris (knee) will return tonight for the Suns. He sprained his knee less than a week ago, so it’s conceivable he finds himself limited in some fashion, though nothing has been announced.

Make sure to check the news up until tip:

BUILDING BLOCKS – Studs and Must-Have Values to Build Your Core Lineup

Dennis Schroder, PG, ATL ($4,900): Assuming the Hawks stay cautious with Jeff Teague (ankle), Schroder will continue to be a plug-‘n’-play option at point guard. The matchup with Sacramento at home is nice, making him just as tempting even on the second night of a back-to-back.

DeMarcus Cousins, PF, SAC ($10,300): I’m going to keep using Boogie until his price rockets up or he stops performing like an unstoppable force. My money is on the former coming first, especially against the undersized Hawks frontcourt.

Rudy Gobert, C, UTA ($6,700): This is simply a really good price for Gobert at a position that isn’t all that exciting tonight. That matchup with Toronto is solid and I like Gobert’s outlook if the Raptors run Scola at the 4 because it should mean even more blocks for the Stifle Tower.

More studs to consider: Russell Westbrook, PG, OKC ($12,200) – Damian Lillard, PG, POR ($8,800) – James Harden, SG, HOU ($10,100)

BARGAINS – Complementary Players and Punt Plays

Ish Smith, PG, NO ($5,500): Jrue Holiday (rest) is out tonight, so Ish Smith will take center stage once again as the starting point guard. His usage should get an uptick if Anthony Davis (shoulder) misses tonight, and he’s already priced favorably for a starter.

C.J. McCollum, SG, POR ($6,500): The Rockets haven’t been good defensively, and there aren’t many great options once you get past the top-tier of players at shooting guard. McCollum offers nice upside in what should be a fast-paced game.

Danny Green, SG, SA ($4,200): I can’t quit Danny Green. The Spurs’ offense isn’t working to perfection quite yet, so role players like Green get dinged quite a bit on value, which is concerning. What isn’t is Green’s ability to contribute on the defensive end, and he should see a bump in minutes with Manu Ginobili out.

P.J. Tucker, SF, PHX ($3,500): Tucker remains a solid value play on Wednesday after putting up at least 17 DraftKings points in three straight games. If you want to punt small forward, you know where to turn tonight.

Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA ($8,200): Who guards Leonard for the Nuggets? Gallinari? Faried? I’m starting to get the feeling that Leonard could feast tonight.

Serge Ibaka, PF, OKC ($6,900): Ibaka has put up at least 35 DraftKings points in every game since Kevin Durant’s injury. I don’t see that changing tonight against the Pelicans.

Ed Davis, PF, POR ($4,100): It’s not exciting, but Davis will work as a punt option at power forward if you really want to go there. The game should be fast-paced, and he could gobble up rebounds if the Rockets continue to be bad offensively.

Ian Mahinmi, C, IND ($4,200): Mahinmi has made for a nice value option at center on most nights, and now he gets a matchup with Jahlil Okafor. A 20 DraftKings points night is within his grasp.

Mason Plumlee, C, POR ($5,500): I like Plumlee for the reasons I like Davis, but Plumlee has much more scoring upside.

LOTTERY TICKETS – 5 Tournaments Options

Ty Lawson, PG, HOU ($5,300): This is a dart throw, but perhaps Lawson gets going with the changes going on in Houston. The Trail Blazers don’t have great wing defense, so the matchup is there for the taking.

Avery Bradley, SG, BOS ($4,500): You can probably play Bradley in cash too, because he’s been fairly consistent this year. He’s posted at least 25 DraftKings points in both games since returning from injury, and he could hit big value in this matchup.

Nicolas Batum, SF, CHA ($7,000): People will be off of Batum after his stinker last night, but he’s a key cog for this Charlotte team. His upside is a monster triple-double each night with defensive stats to boot.

LaMarcus Aldridge, PF, SA ($7,100): I love the matchup, but you simply can’t trust Aldridge because the usage hasn’t been there consistently. That isn’t a problem in tournament formats, and he could pay back his value more than 5x tonight.

Nikola Vucevic, C, ORL ($7,500): The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns isn’t great, but Vucevic is a beast on the boards and is a well-rounded offensive player, so I’m not sure how much the matchup matters. I love him for tournaments tonight.

BUYER’S REMORSE – Reasons for Skepticism

Danilo Gallinari, SF, DEN ($6,600): I had Gallinari on my side last night and thoroughly enjoyed his 55 DraftKings points. I’ll sit out his matchup against Kawhi Leonard on the second night of a back-to-back though.

Jahlil Okafor, C, PHI ($7,200): Big Jah is a monster, but I can’t pay this price for him with Towns, Vucevic and Howard all within $300 of his price.

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