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2015-16 Fantasy Basketball: Top 200 Big Board

Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire

Now that we’ve walked through top 10 rankings at every position along with some sleepers to target and busts to avoid, it’s time to unveil the big kahuna: this year’s Top 200 Big Board.

A few things to keep in mind before diving in:

  • These rankings are based on eight-category head-to-head leagues. They factor in an owner’s ability to punt a certain category (mostly FT%), so keep that in mind when you see a few free throw-troubled centers ranked higher than you otherwise might anticipate.
  • Owners in roto leagues thus shouldn’t take these rankings as gospel. Use them, along with FantasyPros’ ECR and ADP, to get a sense of how particular players are being valued this year, but move up well-rounded players and bump down those who will cripple you in a particular category.
  • You’ll notice a few higher-ranked players have either moved up or slid down from where they were in the positional rankings. I’ll include notes on those, along with a few other late-round flyers, below the Top 200.

With all of that in mind, dive in:

My Rankings FantasyPros ECR Difference
Anthony Davis 1 1 0
Stephen Curry 2 2 0
James Harden 3 3 0
Kevin Durant 4 4 0
Chris Paul 5 6 1
Russell Westbrook 6 5 -1
DeMarcus Cousins 7 8 1
LeBron James 8 7 -1
John Wall 9 9 0
Damian Lillard 10 11 1
Paul George 11 23 12
Klay Thompson 12 12 0
Kawhi Leonard 13 10 -3
Jimmy Butler 14 19 5
Paul Millsap 15 14 -1
Serge Ibaka 16 17 1
Carmelo Anthony 17 13 -4
Blake Griffin 18 15 -3
Marc Gasol 19 18 -1
Rudy Gobert 20 25 5
Kevin Love 21 21 0
Andre Drummond 22 26 4
Eric Bledsoe 23 24 1
Kyrie Irving 24 30 6
DeAndre Jordan 25 29 4
Al Horford 26 20 -6
Kyle Lowry 27 28 1
Nikola Vucevic 28 22 -6
LaMarcus Aldridge 29 16 -13
Gordon Hayward 30 36 6
Victor Oladipo 31 38 7
Jeff Teague 32 39 7
Draymond Green 33 34 1
Rudy Gay 34 35 1
Nicolas Batum 35 51 16
Dwight Howard 36 48 12
Monta Ellis 37 52 15
Hassan Whiteside 38 44 6
Pau Gasol 39 31 -8
Nerlens Noel 40 40 0
Chris Bosh 41 27 -14
Derrick Favors 42 37 -5
Reggie Jackson 43 53 10
Brook Lopez 44 41 -3
Danny Green 45 66 21
Andrew Wiggins 46 56 10
Mike Conley 47 33 -14
Goran Dragic 48 42 -6
Ty Lawson 49 59 10
Greg Monroe 50 55 5
Al Jefferson 51 32 -19
Tim Duncan 52 46 -6
Kyle Korver 53 54 1
Chandler Parsons 54 62 8
Kenneth Faried 55 67 12
Bradley Beal 56 60 4
Brandon Knight 57 57 0
Isaiah Thomas 58 63 5
Tobias Harris 59 49 -10
Trevor Ariza 60 64 4
Kemba Walker 61 43 -18
Giannis Antetokounmpo 62 65 3
Ricky Rubio 63 72 9
Danilo Gallinari 64 82 18
Jonas Valanciunas 65 70 5
DeMarre Carroll 66 75 9
George Hill 67 74 7
Michael Carter-Williams 68 76 8
Nikola Mirotic 69 85 16
Karl-Anthony Towns 70 88 18
Dwyane Wade 71 61 -10
Marcin Gortat 72 78 6
DeMar DeRozan 73 58 -15
Khris Middleton 74 80 6
Dirk Nowitzki 75 47 -28
Terrence Jones 76 90 14
Zach Randolph 77 71 -6
Tyson Chandler 78 89 11
J.J. Redick 79 97 18
Markieff Morris 80 98 18
Jarrett Jack 81 105 24
Elfrid Payton 82 73 -9
C.J. McCollum 83 114 31
Thaddeus Young 84 83 -1
Ryan Anderson 85 95 10
Robert Covington 86 93 7
Eric Gordon 87 124 37
Robin Lopez 88 92 4
Roy Hibbert 89 109 20
Gorgui Dieng 90 87 -3
Tyreke Evans 91 68 -23
Deron Williams 92 79 -13
Derrick Rose 93 45 -48
Enes Kanter 94 108 14
D’Angelo Russell 95 103 8
Otto Porter 96 125 29
Emmanuel Mudiay 97 116 19
Kobe Bryant 98 81 -17
Wesley Matthews 99 77 -22
Joakim Noah 100 69 -31
Rajon Rondo 101 91 -10
J.R. Smith 102 138 36
Al-Farouq Aminu 103 127 24
P.J. Tucker 104 146 42
Brandan Wright 105 153 48
Wilson Chandler 106 135 29
Zach LaVine 107 186 79
Meyers Leonard 108 130 22
Patrick Patterson 109 115 6
Mason Plumlee 110 113 3
Jordan Clarkson 111 107 -4
Arron Afflalo 112 104 -8
Jahlil Okafor 113 96 -17
Joe Johnson 114 100 -14
Aaron Gordon 115 172 57
Timofey Mozgov 116 106 -10
Tony Parker 117 86 -31
Kevin Martin 118 94 -24
David Lee 119 102 -17
Myles Turner 120 132 12
Harrison Barnes 121 137 16
Darren Collison 122 112 -10
Jeff Green 123 120 -3
Ersan Ilyasova 124 129 5
Luol Deng 125 101 -24
Lou Williams 126 117 -9
Rodney Hood 127 181 54
Jusuf Nurkic 128 133 5
Julius Randle 129 134 5
Andrew Bogut 130 118 -12
Mo Williams 131 143 12
Jae Crowder 132 141 9
Avery Bradley 133 151 18
Jeremy Lin 134 155 21
John Henson 135 159 24
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 136 157 21
Zaza Pachulia 137 154 17
Brandon Jennings 138 99 -39
Marcus Smart 139 121 -18
Jared Sullinger 140 119 -21
Dennis Schroder 141 136 -5
Ed Davis 142 140 -2
Alec Burks 143 150 7
Trey Burke 144 156 12
Ben McLemore 145 162 17
Evan Turner 146 167 21
Jabari Parker 147 84 -63
Jrue Holiday 148 50 -98
Josh Smith 149 110 -39
David West 150 111 -39
Marcus Morris 151 126 -25
C.J. Miles 152 131 -21
Alex Len 153 144 -9
Courtney Lee 154 180 26
Mario Hezonja 156 142 -14
Kristaps Porzingis 156 173 17
Jordan Hill 157 192 35
Langston Galloway 158 184 26
Andre Iguodala 159 160 1
Jamal Crawford 160 147 -13
Tiago Splitter 161 152 -9
Jose Calderon 162 164 2
Amir Johnson 163 168 5
Paul Pierce 164 166 2
Tony Allen 165 163 -2
Kosta Koufos 166 177 11
Stanley Johnson 167 200 33
Manu Ginobili 168 199 31
Jerian Grant 169 198 29
Corey Brewer 170 195 25
Nik Stauskas 171 194 23
Rodney Stuckey 172 190 18
Nick Young 173 193 20
Devin Harris 174 203 29
Channing Frye 175 206 31
Jameer Nelson 176 N/A N/A
Noah Vonleh 177 N/A N/A
Kendall Marshall 178 N/A N/A
Patrick Beverley 179 123 -56
Lance Stephenson 180 122 -58
Taj Gibson 181 149 -32
O.J. Mayo 182 170 -12
Bojan Bogdanovic 183 175 -8
Cody Zeller 184 178 -6
Kyle O’Quinn 185 185 0
Omer Asik 186 189 3
Isaiah Canaan 187 187 0
Gerald Henderson 188 N/A N/A
Willie Cauley-Stein 189 N/A N/A
Dion Waiters 190 N/A N/A
Mirza Teletovic 191 N/A N/A
Terrence Ross 192 N/A N/A
Spencer Hawes 193 N/A N/A
Thabo Sefolosha 194 N/A N/A
Will Barton 195 N/A N/A
Devin Booker 196 N/A N/A
Tristan Thompson 197 128 -69
Donatas Motiejunas 198 182 -16
Frank Kaminsky 199 176 -23
Tony Wroten 200 139 -61

A few notes on risers and fallers from the past few weeks:

  • Kyle Lowry jumped two spots in the PG rankings, going from my PG10 to PG8. While it’s always dangerous to put too much stock into preseason performance, it’s hard to ignore the now-skinny Lowry pouring in 30.3 points while playing roughly 25 minutes a night. The dude appears poised for a monster year, and if Kyrie Irving’s timetable to return doesn’t become clear soon, he might even vault up to PG7. I’d still keep Bledsoe ahead of him no matter what, though.
  • Pau Gasol, meanwhile, tumbled below Draymond Green to a late fourth- or early fifth-round pick. Bobby Portis is the real deal, folks. I figured the Bulls would have the same frontcourt conundrum they did last year — how to get enough minutes for Gasol, Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson and Nikola Mirotic — but Portis is only further complicating that equation. It wouldn’t be a total shock to see Pau play less than 30 minutes a night in an effort to keep him fresh for the playoffs, which will significantly hurt his fantasy value.
  • Our Top 10 shooting guards piece went live before Michael Kidd-Gilchrist was lost for most, if not all of the season due to a shoulder injury. While MKG’s absence doesn’t bode well for Charlotte’s ability to compete for a playoff spot, Nicolas Batum’s fantasy value is only going to spike even further now. He’s an outright steal in the fifth round, and you wouldn’t be crazy to consider him in the fourth, especially in roto leagues.
  • The same goes for Tyreke Evans: He was ranked significantly higher in the Top 10 small forwards piece, but now that he’s out for six-to-eight weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his right knee, per John Reid of the Times Picayune, his draft-day value took a nosedive. For what it’s worth, he would’ve been in my top 40 had he been healthy. Eric Gordon’s fantasy value, meanwhile, receives a decent boost with Evans sidelined and Jrue Holiday on a significant minutes restriction.
  • As noted in the intro, punting categories can be an especially valuable strategy for owners in head-to-head leagues. If you do decide to go that route, target Andre Drummond or DeAndre Jordan in the third round or Dwight Howard in the late fourth or early fifth. Drummond, in particular, could provide top 10 value if you remove FT% from the equation.
  • Even though Tristan Thompson finally reached a contract agreement with the Cleveland Cavaliers, Kevin Love will still be a sneaky great pick in the late second or early third round, depending on the size of your league. The Cavs are going to be relying heavily upon him this year, particularly if LeBron James’s suddenly troublesome back causes him to miss any time during the regular season.

And a few notes on late-round flyers and players to avoid:

  • Isaiah Canaan is going to win the 76ers’ starting point-guard job by default at the start of the season, but my money is still on Kendall Marshall taking over once he’s healthy enough to return. Depending on the size of your league and your roster, Marshall may go undrafted, but you’d be wise to stash him with a final-round pick, especially if your league has an IR spot. The Sixers have been top 10 in pace each of the past two seasons, and that doesn’t figure to change this year.
  • Zach LaVine appears poised for a significant role this season, as interim head coach Sam Mitchell told reporters earlier this month, which boosts his fantasy value accordingly. Mitchell said the decision to play his youngsters heavily is “about where you are as an organization and where you’re trying to go,” which means the Timberwolves aren’t likely to rely heavily on veterans just to scrape out a few extra wins. Seeing as LaVine averaged 13.8 points, 5.1 assists, 4.0 rebounds and 1.0 steals during his 40 starts last year, he’ll be a high-upside late-round pick given his new role.
  • Brandon Jennings, Jabari Parker and Jrue Holiday all tumbled down the rankings due to their respective injuries/injury risk. Jennings isn’t likely to be back until December at the earliest, while Parker and Holiday figure to be under restrictive minutes limits for the first few months of the season. Their upside, if healthy, is exponentially higher than where they’re ranked here, but they simply won’t have the opportunity to make a consistent fantasy impact for the first few months. Let someone else draft them, get frustrated and dump them to the waiver wire.
  • Target Utah’s backcourt (particularly Alec Burks and Rodney Hood) and anyone on Portland with your late-round picks. You can thank me later.

Positional rankings

Top 10 PGs

Top 10 SGs

Top 10 SFs

Top 10 PFs

Top 10 Cs

Players’ positions are based on Basketball-Reference.com‘s play-by-play data, unless otherwise noted. All fantasy-value data from 2014-15 are via FantasyPros.com and are based on eight-category leagues.

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