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NBA DFS: DraftKings Tip Sheet 10/29

It has been less than a week, and we already have plenty of stud performances across the board in daily fantasy NBA on DraftKings. And last night was no exception.

Russell Westbrook kicked his MVP campaign into high gear with a 51 point triple-double, netting nearly 90 DraftKings points in the process. It was truly an amazing performance, even if the trolls on your Twitter timeline want to tell you it wasn’t because he took 44 shots.

Jeremy Lin — yes, Jeremy Lin! — nearly grabbed a triple-double of his own against the Pacers last night. Kevin Durant dropped 30-6-17-2-2. And Anthony Davis made another massive splash with a 45-3-17-2-2 line.

The NBA is back, and it’s awesome.

About Last Night…

  • The Nets hate Brook Lopez. He dropped 25 points in 26 minutes last night, but the major takeaway is that he has seen less than 30 minutes in both contests so far this season.
  • The Suns are going to continue to be a spot we can turn to for value. Earl Watson played his guys heavy minutes last year in an injury riddled season, and that has continued with the team healthy.
  • JJ Barea is the beneficiary of the Mavericks going small, which they have done in both matchups against uptempo teams. He was $3,900 on DraftKings last night and was an easy value play.
  • Lance Stephenson is firmly in the rotation for New Orleans. He played 26 minutes in the opener and 31 minutes last night. He has some of the same skills that Tyreke Evans possesses, so it’s reasonable to assume he’ll be worth consideration for as long as Evans is out.
  • The Warriors defense is still quite bad. This bodes well for all of the Big Four, as they’ll get a chance to fire up shots all game long. All four were useful for DFS after a sub-par opener.

Slate Overview

Tonight we’ve got another eight-game main slate, with the early 76ers-Hawks tilt out of the mix.

The Trail Blazers-Nuggets matchup is projected to be the highest scoring game according to the Vegas lines, and both squads feature a top-six implied scoring total on the slate. The spread in this game has the Nuggets as a mere 1.5 point favorite, which means it should be a juicy game to target.

  1. San Antonio (vs. NO), 109.75
  2. Cleveland (vs. ORL), 107.5 implied points
  3. Chicago (vs. IND), 106.5
  4. Denver (vs. POR), 106.25
  5. Milwaukee (vs. BKN), 105.75

Point Guard

Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo are both vying for top honors at point guard tonight. I give the edge to Giannis due to a few factors, most notably his lower price, home venue, and insanely high floor. The Bucks come away with a higher team total than the Trail Blazers, adding another layer of intrigue for the Greek Freak.

The value plays at this position are a few familiar names. Jeremy Lin has to be in the conversation after his near triple-double last night, and his price actually went down $100. Ty Lawson has gotten 36 minutes in each of the Kings’ first two games, and Tim Frazier remains underpriced as the unquestioned point guard of the Pelicans.

  • Damian Lillard, POR ($9,100)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL ($8,800)
  • Isaiah Thomas, BOS ($7,200)
  • Rajon Rondo, CHI ($6,400)
  • Jeremy Lin, BKN ($5,900)
  • Ty Lawson, SAC ($5,600)
  • Tim Frazier, NO ($5,600)

Shooting Guard

If the first game was any indication, Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade could coexist. I’m more interested in Wade tonight, as Butler will likely see his fair share of Paul George and will cost you $1,300 more. Paying up at the position isn’t my strategy tonight, but you could do a whole lot worse than deploying Wade at home against Monta Ellis and the new-look Pacers on the second night of a back-to-back.

The value is very strong here, which is a departure from the majority of slates. Zach LaVine always has an upside and is affordable at $5,600. Avery Bradley has put up huge minutes and a pair of 30 DraftKings point games, yet still sits at a mere $5,100. Will Barton should start again with Gary Harris ruled out, and is one of the better plays of the night after dropping 31 DraftKings points in 35 minutes in his opener.

  • Dwyane Wade, CHI ($6,400)
  • Zach LaVine, MIN ($5,600)
  • Avery Bradley, BOS ($5,100)
  • Will Barton, DEN ($5,000)
  • Allen Crabbe, POR ($3,800)
  • Sean Kilpatrick, BKN ($3,600)

Small Forward

San Antonio Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (2) talks with head coach Gregg Popovich during the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Saturday, March 12, 2016, in San Antonio. San Antonio won 93-85. (AP Photo/Darren Abate)

(AP Photo/Darren Abate)

The Spurs have the highest implied team total tonight, and Kawhi Leonard has been the focal point of their offensive efforts thus far. There’s a bit of concern with the Spurs favored by a whopping 13.5 points tonight, but if they blow out the Pelicans, it’s likely that Leonard will have done plenty of damage already.

Barton headlines the value at small forward as a dual-eligible player, but one of his teammates deserves consideration, as well. Wilson Chandler played 30 minutes in the Nuggets’ opener, presumably because of the small ball nature of the game. I would expect a similar scenario to be possible as Denver hosts Portland, a team who is built to run with a trio of guards more often than not.

Don’t forget about Lance Stephenson, who is firmly in the rotation with the Pelicans. It’s not a great situation, as New Orleans has the lowest implied team total on this slate, but the price doesn’t match the workload yet.

  • Kawhi Leonard, SA ($8,900)
  • Paul George, IND ($8,400)
  • Will Barton, DEN ($5,000)
  • Wilson Chandler, DEN ($4,000)
  • Allen Crabbe, POR ($3,800)
  • Lance Stephenson, NO ($3,300)

Power Forward

Lowest implied point total be damned; I really don’t know how you can pass up Anthony Davis and not be nervous at this point. The Pelicans are pushing the pace and Davis is playing 40 minutes per game en route to a ridiculous average of nearly 90 DraftKings points per game.

The Spurs don’t have a big man with a prayer of stopping Davis, either. There are red flags: Davis’ team is on the road on the second night of a back-to-back, his workload has been exhausting, and as stated, Vegas is implying that the Pelicans will score the least amount of points on this slate. Still, Davis needs to be under hard consideration to anchor your lineup.

There is plenty of value to be found deeper in this player pool to help you fit Davis and other studs into your lineups, too. The lock for me is Trevor Booker, who somehow costs just $4,300 despite putting up 29.75 DraftKings points in back-to-back games. The arrow is pointing up on his minutes with Brook Lopez ruled out of this game.

  • Anthony Davis, NO ($10,700)
  • Kawhi Leonard, SA ($8,900)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge, SA ($7,200)
  • Gorgui Dieng, MIN ($5,900)
  • Marvin Williams, CHA ($4,800)
  • Trevor Booker, BKN ($4,300)

Center

Brook Lopez is out for tonight’s game so that a value play might be the move here. Justin Hamilton has been awesome in the Nets’ first two games, putting up 37 and 20 DraftKings points despite his sub-$4k price point. He’s still only $3,600, and he should be a popular play regardless of whether he starts or not for the resting Lopez.

  • Anthony Davis, NO ($10,700)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge, SA ($7,200)
  • Gorgui Dieng, MIN ($5,900)
  • Greg Monroe, MIL ($5,700)
  • Justin Hamilton, BKN ($3,600)

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