Games to Target
Indiana at Sacramento (Over/Under 215.5): The Pacers go from facing the Warriors last night to facing one of the weakest defenses in the league tonight. George Hill – who’s expected to return – could be a solid play, along with Paul George and red-hot rookie Myles Turner. On the other side, DeMarcus Cousins reigns supreme, with Rajon Rondo right behind him and potential value on guys like Marco Belinelli or Omri Casspi.
Detroit at Denver (O/U 207.5): The beautiful part about using players from the Pistons is that you pretty much know what you’re getting. Stan Van Gundy usually plays his best players heavy minutes, and in a plus matchup with the Nuggets, pretty much all positions can be used. I love Danilo Gallinari for the Nuggets, along with Kenneth Faried in this spot.
News and Notes
- O.J. Mayo (hamstring) is questionable to take on the Pelicans. Jerryd Bayless continues to be the biggest beneficiary of any guard’s absence.
- Nicolas Batum (toe) and Cody Zeller (shoulder) are out again for the Hornets. Jeremy Lin and Spencer Hawes will start.
- Tony Allen (knee) and Marc Gasol (knee) are both questionable to take on the Timberwolves. Monitor this situation because Matt Barnes will likely start if Allen is sidelined, and Gasol’s absence changes the flow of this game.
- It’s a huge list of injuries for the Suns again tonight. Here are the players that are questionable: Brandon Knight (hip), P.J. Tucker (chest), Markieff Morris (shoulder), Jon Leuer (back) and Mirza Teletovic (ankle). With Ronnie Price (foot) still out, Devin Booker has the most to gain of the guards. Last game, the Suns went with a combination of Alex Len and Tyson Chandler at the 4 and 5, and I’d expect them to do so again should the situation be the same.
- Jameer Nelson (wrist) is questionable to take on the Pistons. If he’s sidelined, Emmanuel Mudiay’s workload should be secure.
- George Hill (personal) is expected to return tonight, while Ian Mahinmi (ankle) is out. If Hill doesn’t return as expected, give a big bump to the value of Monta Ellis, and consider Joe Young as a cheap option. With Mahinmi out, it’s become clear that Myles Turner is really good, so I’d suggest heading that route.
- Larry Nance Jr. (knee) is questionable to go against the Trail Blazers. If he sits, expect Julius Randle to continue to start.
Stud to Target
Damian Lillard, POR ($9,200): Lillard absolutely destroys the Lakers, with career averages of 26 points and 7.5 assists in 13 games. His usage rate climbs to 30 percent in those contests, which means great things for fantasy.
Others to consider: Reggie Jackson, DET ($7,100) – Mike Conley, MEM ($6,300)
George Hill, IND ($5,100): Hill is expected to rejoin the team tonight, and he steps into a great matchup if that’s the case. He often plays well over 30 minutes, and the Kings have been dreadful at defending opposing point guards. If Hill doesn’t play, I like Dennis Schroder as a pivot at $200 cheaper, though he’ll feature much more volatility than Hill.
Stud to Target
Jimmy Butler, CHI ($8,500): Butler has been simply awesome over the last month or so, and this is the type of game to target him in. There are a few other solid options at the top of the shooting-guard pool, but it’ll tough for me to put any of them ahead of Butler given his matchup — even factoring in that he’ll guard LeBron at times.
Others to consider: Tyreke Evans, NO ($7,700) – Khris Middleton, MIL ($7,300)
Devin Booker, PHX ($5,000): If Brandon Knight is ruled out, Booker is the value play at shooting guard if you need one. Assuming he avoids foul trouble – admittedly a big “if” given his rookie status – he’s in line for 35-40 minutes, and he’s performed at a high level recently.
Stud to Target
Carmelo Anthony, NY ($8,300): Carmelo scored only 16 points last night and still ended up with 33 DraftKings points in a blowout. While that mark is short of what we needed from him in the last contest, it shows just how he’s performing at this point of the season. He’s still underpriced, and gets to take on a Hornets team that’ll be without Nicolas Batum.
Others to consider: Paul George, IND ($9,000) – Danilo Gallinari, DEN ($6,900)
Marcus Morris, DET ($5,400): Morris put up a dud against the Pelicans, but I like him in a decent matchup with the Nuggets tonight. He plays high minutes, and his salary dropped $300 after that last game, adding further value.
Stud to Target
DeMarcus Cousins, SAC ($10,700): Sure, Anthony Davis is $700 cheaper, but who’s slowing Cousins on Indiana? This team started Jordan Hill at center last night, and if that’s the case again, the only thing that’ll stop Boogie is foul trouble.
Others to consider: Anthony Davis, NO ($10,000) – Kevin Love, CLE ($7,200)
Jabari Parker, MIL ($5,100): Parker continues to excel, yet his price remains the same. I like him as a value play again tonight against a leaky New Orleans defense. He’s consistently been putting up solid DK scores, but he hit a high note last night against the Rockets with 38 DK points.
Stud to Target
Al Horford, ATL ($6,800): There’s really no reason to pay up at center tonight, but if you want to, Horford should be a cost effective option. The Suns might have to play big, which means that Horford should be on the floor his normal amount of minutes if Phoenix keeps it close.
Others to consider: Pau Gasol, CHI ($8,500) – Greg Monroe, MIL ($7,000)
Myles Turner, IND ($4,100): At this point there’s no analysis. This guy is putting up huge numbers in extended time, and has the opportunity to play a bunch of minutes against a bad Kings defense. He’s put up 42, 27 and 46 DK points over his last three games.